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Current Win Probability
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns 42.2%
Texas State Bobcats 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Texas State Bobcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Texas State Bobcats Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Louisiana-Lafayette will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Texas State will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 10)
06:54, Sampson S. (Touchdown),
06:54, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
10:15, Robles T. (Field Goal),
14:33, Pare L. (Touchdown),
14:33, Robles T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (28 - 7)
03:36, Jensen C. (Touchdown),
03:36, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
06:31, Davis B. (Touchdown),
06:31, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
09:31, Davis B. (Touchdown),
09:31, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
10:34, Lyons T. (Touchdown),
10:34, Robles T. (Extra Point),
14:39, Winfield L. (Touchdown),
14:39, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
12:03, Robles T. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 19)
01:58, Winfield L. (Touchdown),
01:58, Sterner T. (Extra Point),
02:55, Sparks B. (Touchdown),
06:41, Sparks B. (Touchdown),
11:48, Dawn Junior C. (Touchdown),
11:48, Robles T. (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisiana-Lafayette won 5.
Recent performances by Louisiana-Lafayette have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Texas State is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Texas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Texas State might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Louisiana-Lafayette won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 442:195. (average 36.8:16.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Louisiana-Lafayette won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 231:91. (average 38.5:15.2).
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